by Transatlantic Task Force | Feb 6, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics
Key Takeaways Strategic autonomy is not a single objective: Operational autonomy in limited crises is achievable; full-spectrum collective defence without the United States is a multi-decade project at best and politically evasive to pretend otherwise. Europe’s...
by Asia Pacific Task Force | Feb 3, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics
Key Takeaways Hedging is strategy, not drift: Europe’s Indo-Pacific moves reflect insurance-seeking behavior under high uncertainty, combining diversification, engagement, and risk reduction rather than indecision. The EU–India trade deal is meaningful but bounded:...
by Transatlantic Task Force | Jan 28, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics
Key Takeaways U.S. commitment to European defense is no longer unconditional: The 2026 NDS reframes American support as contingent on European burden-sharing, capability development, and regional leadership rather than automatic forward presence. Homeland defense has...
by Asia Pacific Task Force | Jan 27, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics
Key Takeaways The NDS marks a real strategic pivot, not a rhetorical adjustment: Homeland defence and China deterrence now clearly outrank all other priorities, with Europe and other regions explicitly downgraded. Deterrence by denial is the organizing concept—but it...
by Timucin Ibu | Jan 23, 2026 | Commentary, Defence & Security
Key Takeaways SAFE is a structural shift, not a crisis tool: The programme normalises defence spending within EU macroeconomic governance, marking a decisive break from treating military expenditure as exceptional or temporary. Financial integration is outpacing...
by Asia Pacific Task Force | Jan 21, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics
Key Takeaways Hedging is adaptive, not revisionist: Asia-Pacific allies are not abandoning the U.S.-led order; they are adjusting to uncertainty created by transactional alliance management. Transactional U.S. behavior accelerates diversification: Tariffs, conditional...
