by Transatlantic Task Force | Feb 13, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics
Key Takeaways The “two-speed Europe” debate is no longer theoretical. Senior EU leaders are openly conceding that unanimity has become a liability in security and competitiveness, marking a shift from rhetorical commitment to consensus toward acceptance of permanent...
by Transatlantic Task Force | Feb 10, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics
Introduction: A Renaissance of Great-Power Diplomacy? The back-to-back high-level communications earlier this week—Chinese President Xi Jinping’s video call with Russian President Vladimir Putin and his subsequent telephone conversation with U.S. President Donald...
by Transatlantic Task Force | Feb 6, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics
Key Takeaways Strategic autonomy is not a single objective: Operational autonomy in limited crises is achievable; full-spectrum collective defence without the United States is a multi-decade project at best and politically evasive to pretend otherwise. Europe’s...
by Asia Pacific Task Force | Feb 3, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics
Key Takeaways Hedging is strategy, not drift: Europe’s Indo-Pacific moves reflect insurance-seeking behavior under high uncertainty, combining diversification, engagement, and risk reduction rather than indecision. The EU–India trade deal is meaningful but bounded:...
by Transatlantic Task Force | Jan 28, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics
Key Takeaways U.S. commitment to European defense is no longer unconditional: The 2026 NDS reframes American support as contingent on European burden-sharing, capability development, and regional leadership rather than automatic forward presence. Homeland defense has...
by Asia Pacific Task Force | Jan 27, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics
Key Takeaways The NDS marks a real strategic pivot, not a rhetorical adjustment: Homeland defence and China deterrence now clearly outrank all other priorities, with Europe and other regions explicitly downgraded. Deterrence by denial is the organizing concept—but it...