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FCAS and the Hard Limits of European Defence Unity

FCAS and the Hard Limits of European Defence Unity

by Timucin Ibu | Jun 12, 2026 | Commentary, Defence & Security

Meloni’s SAFE Retreat and Poland’s First Payment: Europe’s Rearmament Problem Is No Longer Only Financial

Meloni’s SAFE Retreat and Poland’s First Payment: Europe’s Rearmament Problem Is No Longer Only Financial

by Transatlantic Task Force | Jun 4, 2026 | Commentary, Defence & Security

Key Takeaways Europe’s rearmament problem is shifting from financing to execution and consent. SAFE shows that money can be mobilised, but Italy and Poland reveal that funds only matter if governments can politically justify them and administratively convert them into...
Europe’s Defence Union Will Be Built in Factories, Not Summits

Europe’s Defence Union Will Be Built in Factories, Not Summits

by Timucin Ibu | May 21, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics

Key Takeaways Europe agrees it needs stronger defence, but it still struggles to turn plans into real military capability. The EU can raise money faster than it can produce weapons, ammunition, drones, and air defence systems. Buying defence equipment remains too...
Trump’s Taiwan Ambiguity Tests Alliance Confidence After the Xi Summit

Trump’s Taiwan Ambiguity Tests Alliance Confidence After the Xi Summit

by Transatlantic Task Force | May 20, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics

Key Takeaways The May 2026 Trump–Xi summit introduced a more openly transactional approach to Taiwan policy, despite official claims that U.S. strategic ambiguity remains unchanged. Trump’s public characterization of Taiwan-related arms sales as “negotiating chips”...
A Window of Opportunity for European Strategic Autonomy

A Window of Opportunity for European Strategic Autonomy

by Transatlantic Task Force | May 11, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics

Key Takeaways Europe is entering a narrow but consequential window in which strategic autonomy is no longer optional but structurally necessary. The transatlantic relationship can no longer be treated as the fixed foundation of European security. Energy security has...
The Fragile Flank: Europe’s Missile Gap and the Crisis of Deterrence

The Fragile Flank: Europe’s Missile Gap and the Crisis of Deterrence

by Transatlantic Task Force | May 7, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics

Key Takeaways The transatlantic security model is shifting from assurance to leverage. U.S. military presence in Europe can no longer be treated as a stable background condition of NATO deterrence. The cancellation of U.S. long-range missile deployments and the...
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