by Asia Pacific Task Force | Jan 27, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics
Key Takeaways The NDS marks a real strategic pivot, not a rhetorical adjustment: Homeland defence and China deterrence now clearly outrank all other priorities, with Europe and other regions explicitly downgraded. Deterrence by denial is the organizing concept—but it...
by Timucin Ibu | Jan 23, 2026 | Commentary, Defence & Security
Key Takeaways SAFE is a structural shift, not a crisis tool: The programme normalises defence spending within EU macroeconomic governance, marking a decisive break from treating military expenditure as exceptional or temporary. Financial integration is outpacing...
by Asia Pacific Task Force | Jan 21, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics
Key Takeaways Hedging is adaptive, not revisionist: Asia-Pacific allies are not abandoning the U.S.-led order; they are adjusting to uncertainty created by transactional alliance management. Transactional U.S. behavior accelerates diversification: Tariffs, conditional...
by Transatlantic Task Force | Jan 15, 2026 | Commentary, Defence & Security
Key Takeaways Greenland’s value to NATO is strategic, not discretionary. Its location, infrastructure, and resources are integral to Arctic and transatlantic security—but strategic importance does not confer ownership rights. The greatest threat revealed is internal,...
by Asia Pacific Task Force | Jan 13, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics
Key Takeaways Africa-First Is Symbolic, but Also Strategic: The annual ritual of China’s foreign minister starting the year in Africa is no longer mere symbolism. In 2026, it functions as a deliberate signal that Africa remains central to China’s external strategy at...
by Transatlantic Task Force | Jan 8, 2026 | Commentary, Geopolitics & Great Power Politics
Key Takeaways Greenland has abruptly become a front-line issue in great-power competition, with renewed U.S. interest—driven by security positioning, military infrastructure, and rare-earth resources—reviving debates about sovereignty and alliance norms in the Arctic....
