Beyond the Horizon Articles
Europe’s Defence Union Will Be Built in Factories, Not Summits
Key Takeaways Europe agrees it needs stronger defence, but it still struggles to turn plans into real military capability. The EU can raise money faster than it can produce weapons, ammunition, drones, and air defence systems. Buying defence equipment remains too...
Trump’s Taiwan Ambiguity Tests Alliance Confidence After the Xi Summit
Key Takeaways The May 2026 Trump–Xi summit introduced a more openly transactional approach to Taiwan policy, despite official claims that U.S. strategic ambiguity remains unchanged. Trump’s public characterization of Taiwan-related arms sales as “negotiating chips”...
Trump-Xi Summit in Beijing
A Window of Opportunity for European Strategic Autonomy
Key Takeaways Europe is entering a narrow but consequential window in which strategic autonomy is no longer optional but structurally necessary. The transatlantic relationship can no longer be treated as the fixed foundation of European security. Energy security has...
The Fragile Flank: Europe’s Missile Gap and the Crisis of Deterrence
Key Takeaways The transatlantic security model is shifting from assurance to leverage. U.S. military presence in Europe can no longer be treated as a stable background condition of NATO deterrence. The cancellation of U.S. long-range missile deployments and the...
The Quasi-Alliance Between Japan and Australia
China-Australia Relations
Germany’s Military Strategy 2039
SPECIAL STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP
The European Defence Agency in 2025: From Coordination to Defence Readiness
Key Takeaways The 2025 EDA report argues that European defence cooperation is shifting from long-term ambition to urgent readiness, driven above all by Russia’s war against Ukraine and pressure for greater European responsibility in collective defence. The EDA is...