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Assessment

Situated in the Carpathian Mountains of western Ukraine, Zakarpattia Oblast is the only Ukrainian administrative division which borders upon four countries: Poland, Slovakia, Hungary and Romania. Transcapartian voters supported Volodymyr Zelenskyy as new President of Ukraine at the 2019 elections. At the 2019 Ukrainian parliamentary election, President Volodymyr Zelensky’s Servant of the People won a plurality in Transcarpatia, too. Ukraine’s 2017 education law makes Ukrainian the required language of study in state schools. Since 2017, the Hungary–Ukraine relations rapidly deteriorated over the issue of the Hungarian minority in Ukraine and it seems to continue to be a burning issue until reaching a permanent solution.

Under the formula of “all identified for all identified” an exchange prisoners-of-war in Donbas by the end of 2019 and to disengage forces at three more sections of the contact line by March 2020 were the concrete compromised article of Normandy Four Summit held in Paris on December 9, 2019. Given those articles are realized, Zelensky still appears to be eager to reinvigorate Ukraine’s hopes for a Western, democratic future.

  • Political Situation – 50%
  • Humanitarian Situation – 55%
  • Energy Security – 70%
  • Armed Conflict – 45%

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